Penn St
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 98.2430Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Colgate ( 5- 8, 92.4) 18-14 207 H Villanova ( 6- 7, 92.8) 13-14 214 A Princeton (11- 2, 98.3) 13- 7 221 A Navy ( 7- 7, 93.3) 11-12 228 H Yale ( 9- 4, 95.9) 17- 7 307 H Cornell (10- 3, 97.9) 19- 7 314 N No Carolina (11- 3, 98.4) 8-10 321 H Maryland ( 7- 5, 96.9) 10- 6 328 A Ohio State (10- 4, 95.0) 13- 6 404 A JHU ( 8- 4, 96.1) 10-11 411 H Michigan ( 5- 8, 93.8) 8- 9 417 A Rutgers ( 8- 7, 93.3) 16- 8 430 N Maryland ( 7- 5, 96.9)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 H Colgate 18-14 4 7 - -3.00
207 H Villanova 13-14 -1 7 --- -7.74
214 A Princeton 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.37
221 A Navy 11-12 -1 4 -- -4.60
228 H Yale 17- 7 10 4 + 3.37
307 H Cornell 19- 7 12 2 ++ 5.32
314 N No Carolina 8-10 -2 0 -1.84
321 H Maryland 10- 6 4 3 1.30
328 A Ohio State 13- 6 7 2 ++ 5.09
404 A JHU 10-11 -1 1 -1.79
411 H Michigan 8- 9 -1 6 --- -6.74
417 A Rutgers 16- 8 8 4 + 3.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Villanova 13-14 -1 7 --- -7.74 411 H Michigan 8- 9 -1 6 --- -6.74 221 A Navy 11-12 -1 4 -- -4.60 201 H Colgate 18-14 4 7 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Princeton 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.37 307 H Cornell 19- 7 12 2 ++ 5.32 328 A Ohio State 13- 6 7 2 ++ 5.09 228 H Yale 17- 7 10 4 + 3.37 417 A Rutgers 16- 8 8 4 + 3.40 |
Penn St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Albany | Penn St | Penn St 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Army | Army | Army 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Bellarmine | Penn St | Penn St 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Binghamton | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Boston Univ | Penn St | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Penn St | |
| Brown | Penn St | Penn St 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Bryant | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Bucknell | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn St | |
| Canisius | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Cleveland St | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Colgate | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Cornell | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Dartmouth | Penn St | Penn St 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Delaware | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Penn St | |
| Denver | Penn St | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Penn St | |
| Detroit | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Penn St | |
| Drexel | Penn St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Duke | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn St | |
| Fairfield | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Georgetown | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn St | |
| Hampton | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Harvard | Penn St | Penn St 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| High Point | Penn St | Penn St 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Hobart | Penn St | Penn St 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hofstra | Penn St | Penn St 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Holy Cross | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn St | |
| Iona | Penn St | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Penn St | |
| Jacksonville | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Penn St | |
| JHU | JHU | JHU | ||
| Lafayette | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Penn St | |
| Le Moyne | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Lehigh | Penn St | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Penn St | |
| LIU | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Loyola | Penn St | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Penn St | |
| Manhattan | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Marist | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Marquette | Penn St | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Penn St | |
| Maryland | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| UMass | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| UMassLowell | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Mercer | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Mercyhurst | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Merrimack | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Mt St Marys | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| NJIT | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| No Carolina | No Carolina | No Carolina | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Ohio State | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Pennsylvania | Penn St | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Penn St | |
| Princeton | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Providence | Penn St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Queens | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Quinnipiac | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Richmond | |
| Rob Morris | Penn St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Rutgers | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Sacred Heart | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Siena | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| St Bonnies | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| St Johns | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Penn St | |
| St Josephs | Penn St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Stony Brook | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Syracuse | Penn St | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Penn St | |
| Towson | Towson | Towson 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| UMBC | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Utah | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Vermont | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Villanova | Villanova | Villanova | ||
| Virginia | Penn St | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Penn St | |
| VMI | Penn St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn St | |
| Wagner | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Yale | Penn St | Penn St |
PowerWise = 67
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.40
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
11 H Colgate ( 5- 8, 92.4) 18-14 -7.49 13.81 -1.32 1.12 27.89
12 H Villanova ( 6- 7, 92.8) 13-14 -7.08 14.21 -1.32 1.12 -4.69
21 A Princeton (11- 2, 98.3) 13- 7 -1.61 19.68 1.32 1.12 46.91
14 A Navy ( 7- 7, 93.3) 11-12 -6.58 14.71 1.32 1.12 -2.94
7 H Yale ( 9- 4, 95.9) 17- 7 -3.96 17.33 -1.32 1.12 35.76
4 H Cornell (10- 3, 97.9) 19- 7 -2.01 19.28 -1.32 1.12 40.11
24 N No Carolina (11- 3, 98.4) 8-10 -1.50 19.79 -0.00 1.12 -0.84
17 H Maryland ( 7- 5, 96.9) 10- 6 -3.03 18.26 -1.32 1.12 37.84
10 A Ohio State (10- 4, 95.0) 13- 6 -4.89 16.40 1.32 1.12 39.58
17 A JHU ( 8- 4, 96.1) 10-11 -3.76 17.53 1.32 1.12 -1.36
12 H Michigan ( 5- 8, 93.8) 8- 9 -6.08 15.22 -1.32 1.12 -4.13
16 A Rutgers ( 8- 7, 93.3) 16- 8 -6.57 14.72 1.32 1.12 35.83
------
249.95
|
winning pts = 263.9034 losing points = -13.9577
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------